By John Ezekowitz Each March, college basketball fans looking for help in filling out their NCAA Tournament brackets can go one of two ways: the quantitative, algorithmic route used effectively by sites like Ken Pomeroy and...
Tag - Bracketology
By John Ezekowitz and Ben Blatt Now that the bracket is out and fans everywhere are busy trying to find that perfect upset, a lot of attention will be paid rightly to projecting ahead. We thought, however, that it might be nice...
By John Ezekowitz (Ed Note: Please use our updated model and predictions for 2012, found here) This time last year, I attempted to create a logistic model that would predict those first round NCAA Tournaments that everyone loves...
By John Ezekowitz On Tuesday, I looked at predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Today I’m looking at which favorites are vulnerable to upsets. Again, I created a database of NCAA Tournament favorites’ tempo-free...
Author note: This article originally appeared on the old HSAC blog around this time last year, back when I was a wee freshman (I am now a no-less-wee sophomore). But because that blog has been lost to the ages, and because this...
By John Ezekowitz A few weeks ago, when I started analyzing the effects of tempo on NCAA Tournament upsets, I got a crazy idea: what if I could find a model that would predict factors of successful underdogs? I’ve always...
By John Ezekowitz and Andrew Cohen The allure of March Madness is due in no small part to the complementary joys of filling out a bracket and first and second round upsets. America loves an underdog, and the first four days of...