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Tag - Bracketology

  • NCAA Basketball

Quantifying Intangibles: A New Way to Predict the NCAA Tournament

May 18, 2011
by harvardsports
8 min read
10 Comments

By John Ezekowitz Each March, college basketball fans looking for help in filling out their NCAA Tournament brackets can go one of two ways: the quantitative, algorithmic route used effectively by sites like Ken Pomeroy and...

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  • NCAA Basketball

The NCAA Tournament Network

March 17, 2011
by harvardsports
2 min read
2 Comments

By John Ezekowitz and Ben Blatt Now that the bracket is out and fans everywhere are busy trying to find that perfect upset, a lot of attention will be paid rightly to projecting ahead. We thought, however, that it might be nice...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Predicting First Round NCAA Tournament Upsets: New and Improved

March 15, 2011
by harvardsports
3 min read
8 Comments

By John Ezekowitz (Ed Note: Please use our updated model and predictions for 2012, found here) This time last year, I attempted to create a logistic model that would predict those first round NCAA Tournaments that everyone loves...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: Favorite Vulnerability

March 17, 2010
by harvardsports
3 min read
4 Comments

By John Ezekowitz On Tuesday, I looked at predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Today I’m looking at which favorites are vulnerable to upsets. Again, I created a database of NCAA Tournament favorites’ tempo-free...

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  • NCAA Basketball

March Madness for (Statistically Inclined) Dummies

March 16, 2010
by harvardsports
5 min read
11 Comments

Author note: This article originally appeared on the old HSAC blog around this time last year, back when I was a wee freshman (I am now a no-less-wee sophomore). But because that blog has been lost to the ages, and because this...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: The Underdogs

March 15, 2010
by harvardsports
3 min read
7 Comments

By John Ezekowitz A few weeks ago, when I started analyzing the effects of tempo on NCAA Tournament upsets, I got a crazy idea: what if I could find a model that would predict factors of successful underdogs? I’ve always...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Putting Theories to the Test: Does Slow Tempo Aid NCAA Tournament Upsets?

February 11, 2010
by harvardsports
4 min read
8 Comments

By John Ezekowitz and Andrew Cohen The allure of March Madness is due in no small part to the complementary joys of filling out a bracket and first and second round upsets. America loves an underdog, and the first four days of...

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