HSAC is a student-run organization at Harvard University dedicated to the quantitative analysis of sports strategy and management. This blog features the original contributions of Harvard undergraduates, graduates, faculty, and affiliates. HSAC does research for several sports-related publications and companies. Please contact us at harvardsportsanalysis@gmail.com if you have any questions or want more information.

New York Jets Coaching Carousel: Is Rex Ryan Coaching for his Job?

By Harrison Chase and Kurt Bullard Around the middle of the season every year, speculation rises amongst disgruntled fan bases regarding whether the head coach of their beloved team will get the ax by the end of the season. For no coach has this been truer over the past years than Rex Ryan, especially this …Read More

NFL Fantasy Football: Predicting Kicker Performance

By Henry Johnson The task of predicting fantasy football kickers’ performance has, on multiple occasions and by multiple analysts, been deemed a fool’s errand. Some kickers will do well and others will do poorly—anything more than this fact is beyond us mere mortals. But perhaps we can ask a different question: Given information about each …Read More

Are the San Antonio Spurs Too Old?

By Julian Ryan The current San Antonio Spurs team, despite winning the NBA Finals in a dominant fashion, are getting some flak from the internet community for being too old and past their prime. Even the statistical community is predicting some slippage for Greg Popovich’s warriors. This begs the question: how old is too old …Read More

Smart Slugging: Evaluating the Power-Strikeouts Tradeoff

By Kurt Bullard In baseball, it is taken as a given that players who hit for power tend to strike out at a higher rate than those who make their living off simply reaching base. A common metric used in portraying this phenomenon is the HR/K ratio. However, this statistic is relatively narrow – home …Read More

USPGA Golf: The Impact of Tee Times

By Steven Rachesky In the first round of the 2014 British Open, 15 players out of the 18 total that shot 69 or better had teed off during the morning slots. During the afternoon, Royal Liverpool GC played much harder with significantly harsher weather conditions. Although this magnitude of discrepancy in performance between afternoon and …Read More

Eagles-Colts Call on MNF: Not Actually That Important

By Kurt Bullard Football fans – and sports fans in general – abhor the fact that mistakes made by the referees at the end of games can influence the result of the contest. Nowhere was this seemingly more apparent than in this week’s Monday Night Football game. Indianapolis seemed to have the game all but …Read More

NBA Loser’s Tax: Proof of Zach Lowe’s Observation

By Harrison Chase In the summer of 2012, the World Champion Miami Heat convinced Ray Allen, the all-time league leader in 3-pointers made and one of the best shooters in the league, to leave Boston for deal worth roughly three million a year – almost less than half as much as the Celtics were offering. …Read More

NFL First Down Analytics: A Case Against Momentum in Football

By Barrett Hansen The existence of momentum in the NFL has been debated extensively over the past half decade, with the majority of the analytics world siding against it. Grantland (ESPN) writer Bill Barnwell has become the analytics world’s unofficial champion of the anti-momentum cause, with extensive arguments here and here. A 2012 Sloan paper showed that big plays on …Read More