HSAC is a student-run organization at Harvard University dedicated to the quantitative analysis of sports strategy and management. This blog features the original contributions of Harvard undergraduates, graduates, faculty, and affiliates. HSAC does research for several sports-related publications and companies. Please contact us at harvardsportsanalysis@gmail.com if you have any questions or want more information.

The Distribution of NBA Title Odds Would Be World’s Most Unequal Economy

By Kurt Bullard With last night’s slate of games in the books, the 2016 NBA season has officially begun. While at the beginning of each season, each fan base is usually filled with some feeling of hope and optimism for the upcoming season (well, maybe not Sacramento), that hope for 28 franchises—if it still exists …Read More

Is There Nepotism in the NBA Draft?

By Henry Johnson Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson aren’t just two of the sharpest shooters in basketball—they’re also NBA legacies. Dell Curry, Steph’s father, is the leading scorer in Charlotte Hornets history, and Mychal Thompson, Klay’s father, won two championships with the Los Angeles Lakers. Worth noting, though, is that Steph and Klay have basketball-playing …Read More

The NHL Preseason Offers Very Little Predictive Power

By Carrington Walsh October 12th, 2016 marks the beginning of the newest NHL season and, by extension, the end of the preseason. Preseason games rarely fill up arenas, unless they are an exhibition game in Vegas or Marquette, Michigan. But, still, for avid fans, it gives them a taste of what’s to come in a …Read More

Red Sox Pitchers Set MLB Record with 11 Consecutive Strikeouts

By Adam Gilfix Earlier today, the Boston Red Sox set a Major League Baseball record by striking out 11 straight batters, one better than the mark set by the New York Mets’ legend Tom Seaver. The Tampa Bay Rays hitters were no match for Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez, who struck out a career high 13 …Read More

Even With Rule Changes, Touchbacks Have Yet To Increase

By Kurt Bullard It’s only been two weeks since the start of the NFL season, but in a league with such a small schedule, it’s often tempting to draw conclusions very quickly; after all, it is already one-eighth of the way through the regular season, and soon enough, it’ll be early February. One part of …Read More

Predicting Two Point Conversion Success: Did the Raiders Have a Special Edge?

By Kurt Bullard It’s been a week or so since the famous decision by Jack Del Rio to go for two against the Saints on the road, trailing by one point with only 47 seconds left in the contest. Derek Carr would proceed to drop the ball right into Michael Crabtree’s hands on a fade …Read More

Are Betting Lines Less Accurate During Week 1?

By Benedict Brady There is a general feeling of uncertainty among the masses headed into Week 1 of the NFL Season. Older players have retired, young new talent has come into the league through the draft, and teams have been trading assets all offseason. The casual fan has a much better idea of how their …Read More

Identifying Fantasy Football QB Regression Candidates

By Kurt Bullard When it comes to approaching fantasy football drafts, the ultimate goal is to try to find value—having to pay less than what one should for an asset. One popular way to do that is to try to identify players who are bound to “regress to the mean” after stellar or subpar campaigns. …Read More

Measuring the Hot Seats for NFL Coaches Entering 2016

By Harrison Chase and Kurt Bullard Football season is back, baby! Well, almost. Along with stories about kicker competitions and quarterback battles, we also start to hear early rumors about which coaches might be on the hot seat before the season even starts. Just as the only degree that matters in journalism is the temperature of …Read More

Playing Devil’s Advocate: Why Two Economic Theories Suggest Auto-Drafting May Be the Optimal Fantasy Football Draft Strategy

By Kurt Bullard Last season in my high school fantasy football league, the unimaginable happened: the lone player who auto-drafted ended up going on the win the championship. This was a huge blow to fantasy football worldview, and made me ponder why I would even bother preparing for a fantasy draft when someone who was …Read More