HSAC is a student-run organization at Harvard University dedicated to the quantitative analysis of sports strategy and management. This blog features the original contributions of Harvard undergraduates, graduates, faculty, and affiliates. HSAC does research for several sports-related publications and companies. Please contact us at harvardsportsanalysis@gmail.com if you have any questions or want more information.

Playing Devil’s Advocate: Why Two Economic Theories Suggest Auto-Drafting May Be the Optimal Fantasy Football Draft Strategy

By Kurt Bullard Last season in my high school fantasy football league, the unimaginable happened: the lone player who auto-drafted ended up going on the win the championship. This was a huge blow to fantasy football worldview, and made me ponder why I would even bother preparing for a fantasy draft when someone who was …Read More

Looking for a “Hot Hand” in the NFL: A Case Study on Peyton Manning

By Kurt Bullard If you were to construct a Mount Rushmore of quintessential sports debates, the existence of the hot hand may make its way up there, especially in the basketball world. Proponents point to performances like Klay Thompson’s 37-point third quarter in January against the Kings, former HSAC co-president John Ezekowitz’ paper showing that …Read More

Waiting for Kickoff: A Historical Look at European Soccer

By Carlos Pena-Lobel Inspired by the start of the return of European Soccer again, I wanted to fulfill my promise I made almost a year ago in my post, Why Leicester City Shouldn’t Be atop the Table: A Historical Look at Parity in the EPL.  I suggest you give it a glance because I am …Read More

Are Promoted Teams Having a Tougher Time Staying in the Premier League?

By Andrew Puopolo Year after year, the Premier League continues to be one of the greatest sporting spectacles in the world. In theory, any team of any size can win a series of promotions through the lower leagues and compete against giants like Manchester United, Liverpool or Arsenal. While this is a beautiful thought in theory, one …Read More

Fantasy Football Draft Advice: For WRs, Targets Reign Supreme

By Kurt Bullard It’s midway through August, so we’re now less than one month away from the beginning of the NFL season. Now, then, is about the time where people begin to scout out their potential fantasy football picks. There is a plethora of fantasy football projections and predictions on the web. Some of this …Read More

Derrick Rose Was the Most Overpaid Player in the NBA in 2015 – Regressing Win Shares Against Pay

By Kurt Bullard It’s crazy to think that the world is only one week removed from the instant classic that was Game 7 of the NBA Finals. But with the draft having come and passed, the basketball world has all but moved on to free agency and the trade market. Every year, some players who …Read More

Make Your Layups

By William Ezekowitz Making layups is what Ty Lue’s Cavs do best. Under David Blatt, the Cavs shot a perfectly respectable 60% on layups. Since Lue took over, though, the Cavs have shot 64.7% from five feet and in, a mark that was only topped, weirdly, by the Minnesota Timberwolves, who shot 65.1% in that …Read More

The Best Player Doesn’t Always Win: LeBron in the Finals

by Harrison Chase Almost exactly a year ago people were saying that LeBron should be Finals MVP no matter how his Cavs did against the Warriors (they ended up losing in 6), and with his stellar play this year it seems that people are going right back to that point of debate. I don’t really …Read More