By Kurt Bullard Now that it’s late July, football fans everywhere are looking forward to the opening of training camp, preseason, and the not-so-distant start of the regular season. Even though the so-called football...
Category - NFL Football
by Bill Lotter I know you’ve probably seen 17 mock drafts, so I’m gonna keep this short and sweet. Back in February, I built models to predict where a player will be drafted and how well they will do in the NFL using...
by Henry Johnson With the NFL draft less than one week away, teams are scrambling to determine which characteristics of potential picks matter and which ones don’t. One possible trap to which teams might fall prey is an...
by Bill Lotter Yesterday, we saw that we can predict future NFL success from the combine. We compared the prediction accuracy of our model to the implicit predictions made by the draft. Today we ask a different question: ...
by Bill Lotter Yesterday I made a bunch of claims about the NFL Combine. Now it’s time to back it up. For quantifying performance, I explained why I will be using the 3 Year Approximate Value (3YAV). Just think of this as...
by Bill Lotter It’s a simple question. Does the combine actually matter? Or it is just an over-hyped meat market? In answering these questions, there’s two ways we could look at things: 1. Does performance at the...
By Bill Lotter In case you haven’t heard, people have been scrutinizing a recent play call by Pete Carroll. Don’t worry, I’m not going to talk about that. But I thought it would be interesting to take a step back and...
By Julian Ryan There isn’t a person in New England today who isn’t proclaiming Thomas Edward Patrick Brady Jr. the QB G.O.A.T.. There is a strong statistical case for Brady and Manning to be the first two names on the...
By Carlos Pena-Lobel Seattle had 2nd and goal on the one yard line. People all across America were questioning if the Patriots were going to try to stop Marshawn Lynch, or play the matador defense like they did against Ahmad...
By John Acton Some of the most controversial analysis of Deflategate has focused on the Patriots’ fumble rate since 2007 (the year that the current rules about football handling were implemented, after Tom Brady circulated a...