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Category - NFL Football

  • NFL Football

Does the NFL Combine Matter: Offense

February 27, 2012
by harvardsports
6 min read
16 Comments

[Update: For defense, click here] With the National Football League combine starting, people are sure to get excited about the players that run the fastest 40-yard dash times, bench the most, and put up numbers that match the...

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  • NFL Football

The Super Bowl, Bill Belichick, and Letting Your Opponent Score

February 6, 2012
by harvardsports
3 min read
18 Comments

There are many times when it is acceptable, even encouraged, to let someone else score, like playing basketball with your younger brother or sister. Letting your opponent score in the National Football League almost never...

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  • NFL Football

Calculating Wins Added in Football: A First Attempt

January 30, 2012
by harvardsports
7 min read
1 Comment

In baseball, wins above replacement (WAR) is one of the best statistics for summarizing the total value of any player on the field. Using Expected Points Added (EPA) and Approximate Value (AV), this post explores the possibility...

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  • NFL Football

NFL Draft Efficiency Before and After the Rookie Wage Scale

January 13, 2012
by harvardsports
4 min read
Add Comment

By Kevin Meers With the new collective bargaining agreement came the rookie wage scale and a lengthy discussion of how the rookie wage scale would change draft strategy. Using salary data from www.spotrac.com, this analysis...

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  • NFL Football

Belichick and Brady Address the Media: A Statistical Report

January 11, 2012
by harvardsports
4 min read
4 Comments

by Ben Blatt and Andrew Mooney You can also read this post on the Boston Globe’s website here Bill Belichick and the postgame podium are notorious for being a lethally boring tandem. Week after week, he stymies reporters...

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  • NFL Football

Nothing Has Changed About NFL Injuries: Update

January 11, 2012
by harvardsports
3 min read
10 Comments

By Kevin Meers (Huge thanks to TeamRankings for providing the data used in this post) Last November, I wrote a post on how the lockout did not significantly affect injuries in the NFL this season. Now that the regular season is...

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  • NFL Football

Drafting Quarterbacks

December 28, 2011
by harvardsports
4 min read
6 Comments

by Kevin Meers Using my previous analysis of career approximate value (CAV) on how to value draft picks, this study analyzes how the results apply to the quarterback position. As the five-month debate on what the Colts should do...

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  • NFL Football

Tebow is Still Producing Miracles: An Update

December 6, 2011
by harvardsports
6 min read
6 Comments

By Chris Bruce and Andrew Mooney A couple weeks ago we did some analysis on Tim Tebow, attempting to explain how he’s been winning games despite his poor statistical performance. Simply put, he has been performing poorly...

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  • NFL Football

The Biggest Over and Under Achievers in the NFL

November 30, 2011
by harvardsports
3 min read
11 Comments

by Kevin Meers The lists below are based on my previous analysis on the NFL draft using the Career Approximate Value from www.pro-football-reference.com. The Overachievers Share this: Click to share on X (Opens in new...

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  • NFL Football

How to Value NFL Draft Picks

November 30, 2011
by harvardsports
7 min read
65 Comments

by Kevin Meers Through 12 weeks of the season, most franchises in the National Football League know whether they are in the playoff hunt or if they need to start prepping for the draft: The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco...

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