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Category - NCAA Basketball

  • NCAA Basketball

How to Draw Fouls and Win Close Basketball Games: Don’t Call Timeout?

August 27, 2010
by harvardsports
4 min read
6 Comments

By John Ezekowitz After first writing about the decision to intentionally foul when up three, I’m continuing my analysis of the very end of close college basketball games by examining how calling a timeout affects whether...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Up Three, Time Running Out, Do We Foul? The First Comprehensive CBB Analysis

August 24, 2010
by harvardsports
5 min read
35 Comments

By John Ezekowitz Back in March, Maryland and Michigan State played one of the best final minutes of an NCAA Tournament game in recent memory. Down two points with a timeout left after a Greivis Vasquez layup, the Spartans pushed...

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  • NCAA Basketball

The Most Unlikely College Basketball Result of 2010

August 6, 2010
by harvardsports
3 min read
9 Comments

I have been working on a long term project to create a database of results of college basketball teams on what Ken Pomeroy has called “high leverage” possessions. Namely, possessions in which a team is at best tied...

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  • NCAA Basketball

ESPN’s Andy Katz Visits HSAC

April 14, 2010
by harvardsports
1 min read

HSAC was thrilled to be joined by ESPN.com senior college basketball writer Andy Katz at its latest meeting. Just nine days removed from one of the wildest NCAA tournaments in recent memory, Katz spoke to the club about next...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Butler and Its Home-Court Advantage

March 30, 2010
by harvardsports
4 min read
4 Comments

By Jake Fisher This Saturday, two No. 5 seeds, Butler and Michigan State, will kick off Final Four weekend. Butler, the Cinderella out of the Horizon League, is on a 24-game winning streak. Michigan State has beaten the odds as a...

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  • NCAA Basketball

In Which an Infinite Number of Monkeys Brag About Picking Northern Iowa

March 24, 2010
by harvardsports
3 min read
1 Comment

By David Roher There are over nine quintillion ways to fill out your bracket, and over four hundred trillion ways to predict the first two rounds alone. Based on the craziness of the first four days of the tournament, I bet you...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: Favorite Vulnerability

March 17, 2010
by harvardsports
3 min read
4 Comments

By John Ezekowitz On Tuesday, I looked at predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Today I’m looking at which favorites are vulnerable to upsets. Again, I created a database of NCAA Tournament favorites’ tempo-free...

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  • NCAA Basketball

March Madness for (Statistically Inclined) Dummies

March 16, 2010
by harvardsports
5 min read
11 Comments

Author note: This article originally appeared on the old HSAC blog around this time last year, back when I was a wee freshman (I am now a no-less-wee sophomore). But because that blog has been lost to the ages, and because this...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: The Underdogs

March 15, 2010
by harvardsports
3 min read
7 Comments

By John Ezekowitz A few weeks ago, when I started analyzing the effects of tempo on NCAA Tournament upsets, I got a crazy idea: what if I could find a model that would predict factors of successful underdogs? I’ve always...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Ivy League Efficiency Margins, Week 2

February 17, 2010
by harvardsports
2 min read
1 Comment

By John Ezekowitz Last week, I took a look at the Efficiency Margins for Ivy League conference play so far this season. Since then, a momentous upset by the previously-lowly Penn Quakers over Cornell upset the Ivy order. After...

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