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Category - NCAA Basketball

  • NCAA Basketball

The Best Home Court Advantage You’ve Never Heard About

March 8, 2013
by harvardsports
3 min read
13 Comments

Ask any player or coach in the Ivy League which gym is the toughest to play in, and you will get a near unanimous response: Jadwin Gymnasium at Princeton University. The Palestra may get (a lot) louder, and the road trip from...

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  • March Madness
  • NCAA Basketball

The RPI is Not the Real Predictive Indicator

February 19, 2013
by harvardsports
5 min read
13 Comments

Despite taking quite the beating recently, the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) is still the official and favored ranking system of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Selection Committee. The RPI does not take into account margin of...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Crowdsourcing Divinest Sense from March Madness

March 15, 2012
by harvardsports
2 min read
1 Comment

By David Roher “thumbs up if u know JB’s haters are pathetic… when he is all about the love” — SkilletBiscuitCrew on Baby There are two ways to manage internet commentary. You canĀ restrict the...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Survival of the Fittest: A New Model for NCAA Tournament Prediction

March 14, 2012
by harvardsports
14 min read
20 Comments

(Editor’s note: You can see the model’s 2012 1-68 rankingsĀ hereĀ and full bracketĀ here) Every year, millions of Americans tune in to watch the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, colloquially known as March...

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  • NCAA Basketball

2012 NCAA Survival Model Full Rankings

March 14, 2012
by harvardsports
1 min read
7 Comments

Below is my full Survival Model rankings for the NCAA tournament in 2012. The numbers are tough to interpret, but they represent the relative risk of failing (losing) at a given time period. Lower numbers represent better chances...

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  • NCAA Basketball

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: The Importance of Turnovers and Rebounding

March 12, 2012
by harvardsports
4 min read
36 Comments

For the past two years, I have attempted to systematically predict First Round NCAA Tournament upsets using a dataset of match-ups from 2004 onward. Last year, I improved the model by adding opponent Four Factors data, and the...

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  • NCAA Basketball

The College Basketball ‘Goon Squad’

January 30, 2012
by harvardsports
2 min read
2 Comments

by Nick Jaroszewicz What is a goon? In 2005 John Cheney, then the coach of the Temple University basketball team,Ā  sent in ā€œseldom usedā€ forward Nehemiah Ingram in order to give hard fouls and send a message. While Ingram is...

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  • NCAA Basketball

The Exams and Christmas Letdown Myth

December 26, 2011
by harvardsports
5 min read
2 Comments

This ten day period before New Years marks a pause in the frenetic college basketball schedule. Teams take time off for exams and the Christmas holiday, often not playing games for ten days at a time. Yet almost every team in...

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  • Business
  • NCAA Basketball

How Much Does Vegas Learn?

October 17, 2011
by harvardsports
5 min read
11 Comments

19th century mathematician and genius Francis Galton, the man who invented the regression line (for which we at HSAC are forever indebted), once found himself at a country fair with a peculiar contest: who could guess the exact...

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  • NCAA Basketball

The Myth of the “Michigan Man” – Whether or not coaches are more successful at their Alma Mater

June 15, 2011
by harvardsports
10 min read
3 Comments

By Alex Koenig, Tyler Gamble and Michael Owen Twenty-two years ago, legendary Wolverines football coach turned Athletic Director Bo Schembechler gave a press conference that created one of most overused and ambiguous terms in...

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