The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective

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Category - Football

  • Football
  • NFL Football

Who Had the Best 2016 NFL Combine?

March 9, 2016
by harvardsports
5 min read
2 Comments

By Bill Lotter How would you determine who had the best performance at the NFL Combine? If one player had a faster 40, but another was quicker in the shuttle, who would you say performed better? Ā While it might seem like a...

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  • Baseball
  • Football
  • Hockey
  • NBA Basketball

The Kate Upton Effect is Real: How Dating Celebrities Affects Athletic Performance

March 7, 2016
by harvardsports
5 min read
1 Comment

By Austin Tymins and Nick Holmes Whether it’s partying at exclusive nightclubs before Sunday morning games, or fielding the advances of attractive celebrities, professional athletes typically deal with much larger distractions...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

Predicting Offensive Play-calling in the NFL

March 2, 2016
by harvardsports
6 min read
1 Comment

By Matt Goldberg, Ā Adam Gilfix, Steven Rachesky, Nathaniel Ver Steeg ā€œDefense wins championshipsā€ and ā€œthe best offense is a good defenseā€ are two of the most common adages in sports. The timelessness of these...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

NFL Stat-Around: Who Will Win the Super Bowl?

January 7, 2016
by harvardsports
12 min read
4 Comments

Heading into the playoffs, multiple teams can make a claim that they are the favorites to win it all, and even those who just barely snuck in have hopes. We decided to look at several of the playoff teams from an analytical...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

Understanding the Decline of Peyton Manning

January 6, 2016
by harvardsports
3 min read
Add Comment

By Kurt Bullard It’s hard to believe we’re only two years removed from what might have been the greatest single-season performance from a quarterback of all time: 5,477 yards, 55 touchdowns. And yet, the Broncos enter the...

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  • Football

NFL Coach Hot Seat Model: Chip Kelly, Chuck Pagano, and More

January 3, 2016
by harvardsports
7 min read
1 Comment

By Harrison Chase Over the past two years we have introduced, updated, and modified a logistic regression model to predict which NFL coach will be fired by the end of the season. As the season is nearly over and ā€œBlack...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

Belichick Might Have Been Wrong (For Once)

December 29, 2015
by harvardsports
4 min read
3 Comments

By Thomas Negron This past Sunday, Bill Belichick did the unthinkable, he chose to kickoff in overtime. Controversy erupted as there seemed to be communication errors between the referees and Patriots Special Teams Captain...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

No, CBS Sports, the Patriots have not found an edge on coin flips

November 5, 2015
by harvardsports
3 min read
9 Comments

By Harrison Chase Late yesterday, CBS Sports put out an article claiming that the Patriots were winning coin flips at ā€œan impossible rateā€. What’s more, they publicized it with the lead: ā€œHave the Patriots found a way to...

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  • Football

Introducing POWER Rankings for the NFL

October 22, 2015
by harvardsports
7 min read
12 Comments

By Harrison Chase and Austin Tymins One of the coolest things to come out of sports analytics in the past few years has been the win expectancy curves that have popped up onĀ various sites. After reading an article at 538 last...

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  • Fantasy Sports
  • Football

Fantasy Performance in Division Games

October 21, 2015
by harvardsports
5 min read
Add Comment

By Kurt Bullard Division games are an interesting beast. Three times a year, each team in the NFL will go up a unit which it has already faced. The effect of playing a team which you have already ā€œseenā€ poses some interesting...

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