The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective

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Tag - Playoffs

  • Baseball
  • MLB Baseball

1 in 54,000: The Odds of the Twins’ Terrible Playoff Streak

October 7, 2020
by harvardsports
6 min read
1 Comment

How unlikely is the Minnesota Twins' playoff losing streak? The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective uses win probabilities to show that the odds are only .002% - or about 1 in 54,000.

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  • NBA Basketball

NBA Playoffs: Yes, Regular Season Matchups Matter

April 14, 2017
by harvardsports
3 min read
5 Comments

By Henry Johnson The NBA playoffs have arrived at last. With the first round series set, basketball analysts are looking to regular season results for information about postseason matchups. NESN, for instance, points to the Bulls...

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  • Football

Breaking Down Peyton Manning’s Playoff Woes

January 27, 2015
by harvardsports
6 min read
3 Comments

By Barrett Hansen Super Bowl XLIX is being billed as a matchup between two of the best postseason quarterbacks in the business: the prolific Tom Brady and the cool Russell Wilson. But, just as the two Super Bowl starters are...

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  • NBA Basketball

Does Playoff Rondo Exist?

December 22, 2014
by harvardsports
3 min read
2 Comments

By Julian Ryan In the first blockbuster trade of the season, former Celtics star Rajon Rondo was swapped for a first-round pick and some useful role players– Brandan Wright, with his high field goal percentage, has been a...

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  • NBA Basketball
  • NCAA Basketball

Will The Oklahoma City Thunder Make the Playoffs?

November 6, 2014
by harvardsports
3 min read
1 Comment

By Kurt Bullard The Oklahoma City Thunder came into this season already facing adversity, as it was revealed that Kevin Durant would be sidelined with a foot injury for at least the first four-to-six months of the season. But the...

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  • NFL Football

Embrace the Chaos: the NFL Playoffs and Variance

January 10, 2013
by harvardsports
4 min read
1 Comment

By Andrew Mooney For interested fan or gambler, the NFL playoffs can be infinitely maddening to comprehend. Those Cincinnati Bengals that had won seven of their last eight? Well, they’re out, held to just -6 passing yards in...

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  • NBA Basketball

One and Done: A Thing of the Past? An Analysis of the NBA First-Round Playoff Format

November 9, 2010
by harvardsports
4 min read
4 Comments

By Will McMillan In the middle of the 2002-2003 NBA season, the league made a decision to switch the first round of playoff series from a best-of-5 to best-of-7 format. This was a puzzling move at the time, with the most cited...

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  • MLB Baseball

MLB Playoff Home-Field Advantage Is Tinier Than David Eckstein

October 21, 2010
by harvardsports
5 min read
16 Comments

By David Roher These playoffs have been one for the road. In the Division Series, the home team went a combined 4-11, including a 1-7 showing in the ALDS. Why this happened isn’t that important — you can come up with...

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  • NBA Basketball

The Value of an NBA Playoff Seed

April 21, 2010
by harvardsports
5 min read
2 Comments

By David Roher More than half of the teams in the NBA make the playoffs year. This makes a lot of the drama at the season’s conclusion about seeds. Having a 3 instead of a 4 or a 6 instead of a 7 could dramatically alter...

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  • MLB Baseball

The Swing Game

October 31, 2009
by harvardsports
5 min read
12 Comments

By David Roher Update: An astute commenter below pointed out a key mathematical error that I made. The corrected values on the table are in italics. It seems that every game in a short series gets classified as either a...

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