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First to 100 Points Wins?

February 6, 2019
by harvardsports
3 min read
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By Matty Cheng There used to a loose ‘rule’ in the NBA: “first team to 100 points wins the game.”  Some call it Lawler’s Law after the Los Angeles Clippers broadcaster Ralph Lawler who theorized that the...

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  • Baseball

Tommy John Surgery: Does Persistence have a Price?

January 30, 2019
by harvardsports
5 min read
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By Frank Zhu When MRI scans in September showed Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani would need Tommy John surgery, it was the final blow to an Angels team that had seen injuries derail their hot start which saw them leading the...

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  • NBA Basketball

A Simple Improvement to FiveThirtyEight’s NBA Elo Model

January 17, 2019
by harvardsports
9 min read
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By Erik Johnsson A couple weeks ago, while I was watching James Harden lead the Houston Rockets to a stunning overtime victory over the Golden State Warriors, I was curious to see how the highly-popular ELO and CARMELO models at...

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  • Soccer

Who Are The Ultimate FA Cup Specialists?

January 3, 2019
by harvardsports
6 min read
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By Andrew Puopolo This weekend marks the 3rd Round of the Football Association Cup, the oldest and most prestigious domestic cup competition in the entire world. Every year, amateur and professional teams from across England...

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2018: A (Somewhat) Statistical Year in Review

December 31, 2018
by harvardsports
14 min read
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By Danny Blumenthal and Andrew Puopolo As 2018 comes to a close, take a look back at the moments that made this sports year unforgettable. What were your favorite sports memories from 2018? Let us know in the comments. NFL...

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  • Soccer

A Closer Look At Finishing Ability Part 2: Who are the Best and Worst Finishers Of Easy Chances?

December 27, 2018
by harvardsports
5 min read
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By Andrew Puopolo On Monday, I took a look at players’ finishing abilities based on chance quality, but wanted to write a second article to dive deeper into this. Recently, I was watching my beloved Tottenham Hotspur take...

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  • Soccer

A Closer Look At Finishing Ability Part 1: Who Are The Best and Worst Finishers In Europe?

December 24, 2018
by harvardsports
5 min read
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By Andrew Puopolo Ever since expected goals became the most mainstream advanced metric in soccer, much has been made of the difference between expected goals and actual goals. At first, it was believed that players who...

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  • Soccer

The Most Predictable and Unpredictable xG Based Results In European Football

December 21, 2018
by harvardsports
3 min read
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By Andrew Puopolo On Wednesday, I published an article that detailed the most unlikely scorelines in European football over the last 5 years, inspired by the unlikely 0-0 draw between Hoffenheim and Borussia Mönchengladbach...

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  • Soccer

What Were The Most Unlikely Scorelines In European Football?

December 19, 2018
by harvardsports
3 min read
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On Saturday, Bundesliga surprise package and 2nd place Borussia Mönchengladbach travelled to the Rhein-Necker Arena to play against 6th place TSG Hoffenheim. On the surface, this match was a bit of a dud, as the two teams played...

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  • NBA Basketball

How Improbable Was the Celtics Franchise Record Setting Victory Over The Bulls?

December 12, 2018
by harvardsports
4 min read
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By Andrew Puopolo After a poor start to the season compared to lofty preseason expectations, the Boston Celtics walked into the United Center on Saturday night riding a 4 game winning streak and feeling confident about beating...

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