The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective

The official blog of the Harvard Sports Analysis Collective

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Tag - Win Probability

  • NFL Football

Predicting Two Point Conversion Success: Did the Raiders Have a Special Edge?

September 19, 2016
by harvardsports
3 min read
3 Comments

By Kurt Bullard It’s been a week or so since the famous decision by Jack Del Rio to go for two against the Saints on the road, trailing by one point with only 47 seconds left in the contest. Derek Carr would proceed to drop the...

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  • Baseball
  • MLB Baseball

All-Time Most Pivotal Plays in a World Series Game

February 19, 2015
by harvardsports
10 min read
2 Comments

By Adam Gilfix Recently, my fellow HSAC contributor and friend Carlos Pena-Lobel put up an article on the most pivotal plays in Super Bowl history, using the basis of win probability added.  That got me thinking, and with...

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  • NBA Basketball

What is the chance of an NBA comeback when down by 35?

December 25, 2009
by harvardsports
3 min read
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By Professor Carl Morris The Sacramento Kings came back to win on Monday night (Dec 21), when down by 35 points against the Bulls in Chicago with 20 minutes and 50 seconds (20:50) left.  When two even NBA teams play the...

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  • NCAA Football

Yet Another Article on a Controversial 4th Down Call from a New England Team…Yale

November 22, 2009
by harvardsports
4 min read
2 Comments

By David Roher Harvard and Yale played their 126th football game (known around these parts simply as “The Game”) yesterday. We elected not to do a preview on the blog because the outcome was obviously a near...

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