By John Ezekowitz Back in March, Maryland and Michigan State played one of the best final minutes of an NCAA Tournament game in recent memory. Down two points with a timeout left after a Greivis Vasquez layup, the Spartans pushed...
Category - NCAA Basketball
I have been working on a long term project to create a database of results of college basketball teams on what Ken Pomeroy has called “high leverage” possessions. Namely, possessions in which a team is at best tied...
HSAC was thrilled to be joined by ESPN.com senior college basketball writer Andy Katz at its latest meeting. Just nine days removed from one of the wildest NCAA tournaments in recent memory, Katz spoke to the club about next...
By Jake Fisher This Saturday, two No. 5 seeds, Butler and Michigan State, will kick off Final Four weekend. Butler, the Cinderella out of the Horizon League, is on a 24-game winning streak. Michigan State has beaten the odds as a...
By David Roher There are over nine quintillion ways to fill out your bracket, and over four hundred trillion ways to predict the first two rounds alone. Based on the craziness of the first four days of the tournament, I bet you...
By John Ezekowitz On Tuesday, I looked at predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Today I’m looking at which favorites are vulnerable to upsets. Again, I created a database of NCAA Tournament favorites’ tempo-free...
Author note: This article originally appeared on the old HSAC blog around this time last year, back when I was a wee freshman (I am now a no-less-wee sophomore). But because that blog has been lost to the ages, and because this...
By John Ezekowitz A few weeks ago, when I started analyzing the effects of tempo on NCAA Tournament upsets, I got a crazy idea: what if I could find a model that would predict factors of successful underdogs? I’ve always...
By John Ezekowitz Last week, I took a look at the Efficiency Margins for Ivy League conference play so far this season. Since then, a momentous upset by the previously-lowly Penn Quakers over Cornell upset the Ivy order. After...
By John Ezekowitz and Andrew Cohen Last week, we analyzed the effect of tempo on NCAA Tournament upsets and found that contrary to Dean Oliver’s theory, a faster tempo (more possessions) was predictive of underdog success...