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Category - Football

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  • NFL Football

NFL Stat-Around: Who Will Win the Super Bowl?

January 7, 2016
by harvardsports
12 min read
4 Comments

Heading into the playoffs, multiple teams can make a claim that they are the favorites to win it all, and even those who just barely snuck in have hopes. We decided to look at several of the playoff teams from an analytical...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

Understanding the Decline of Peyton Manning

January 6, 2016
by harvardsports
3 min read
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By Kurt Bullard It’s hard to believe we’re only two years removed from what might have been the greatest single-season performance from a quarterback of all time: 5,477 yards, 55 touchdowns. And yet, the Broncos enter the...

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  • Football

NFL Coach Hot Seat Model: Chip Kelly, Chuck Pagano, and More

January 3, 2016
by harvardsports
7 min read
1 Comment

By Harrison Chase Over the past two years we have introduced, updated, and modified a logistic regression model to predict which NFL coach will be fired by the end of the season. As the season is nearly over and “Black...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

Belichick Might Have Been Wrong (For Once)

December 29, 2015
by harvardsports
4 min read
3 Comments

By Thomas Negron This past Sunday, Bill Belichick did the unthinkable, he chose to kickoff in overtime. Controversy erupted as there seemed to be communication errors between the referees and Patriots Special Teams Captain...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

No, CBS Sports, the Patriots have not found an edge on coin flips

November 5, 2015
by harvardsports
3 min read
10 Comments

By Harrison Chase Late yesterday, CBS Sports put out an article claiming that the Patriots were winning coin flips at “an impossible rate”. What’s more, they publicized it with the lead: “Have the Patriots found a way to...

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  • Football

Introducing POWER Rankings for the NFL

October 22, 2015
by harvardsports
7 min read
12 Comments

By Harrison Chase and Austin Tymins One of the coolest things to come out of sports analytics in the past few years has been the win expectancy curves that have popped up on various sites. After reading an article at 538 last...

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  • Fantasy Sports
  • Football

Fantasy Performance in Division Games

October 21, 2015
by harvardsports
5 min read
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By Kurt Bullard Division games are an interesting beast. Three times a year, each team in the NFL will go up a unit which it has already faced. The effect of playing a team which you have already “seen” poses some interesting...

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  • Football
  • NCAA Basketball
  • NFL Football

Which Teams got the Most Unlucky with Interceptions?

October 19, 2015
by harvardsports
5 min read
1 Comment

By Kurt Bullard Not all turnovers are created equal. Just ask Utah wideout Kaelin Clay, who last year had just torched the Oregon defense for what appeared to be a 78-yard score before he Desean Jackson’d the ball at the...

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  • Football
  • NFL Football

Party in the Backfield

October 12, 2015
by harvardsports
5 min read
2 Comments

By Austin Tymins As the NFL gets more and more pass-reliant, having an effective pass rush has become a necessity. In this post, I’m going to look at the 2014 season in detail to identify the best pass rushers and best sacking...

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  • Fantasy Sports
  • Football
  • NFL Football

Unheralded Fantasy Quarterbacks

October 8, 2015
by harvardsports
3 min read
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By Kurt Bullard Every year, there’s a player in fantasy football that someone just stumbled upon who came out of nowhere to be not only a good starter, but a great one. This year, it’s been Tyrod Taylor, who threw 35 passes...

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