Tag Archives: March Madness

NCAA Tournament: Which Rounds See the Biggest Improvement in Seeds?

by Henry Johnson The NCAA Tournament’s round of 16 teams is deemed sweet for good reason: it’s when the matchups heat up. Gone are the pretenders, the double digit seeds biting at the ankles of favorites, the one-round wonders and the beneficiaries of easy paths. The Sweet Sixteen is very often the first chance to see …Read More

“That was a close one!”: Margin of Victory in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64

by Tomo Lazovich The past two days of this year’s NCAA tournament have been filled with upsets, close calls, and nail biting finishes. This round of 64 has been so exciting that I began to wonder how close the games of the 2015 tournament have been relative to prior years. Thanks to the folks over …Read More

What are the Chances Your Team Knocks Off Kentucky?

by Harrison Chase Kentucky is by far the best team in the nation, and the clear favorite to win the NCAA tournament, no matter what metric you look at. Still, even being the biggest favorite in history, KenPom, one of the premier college basketball ranking sites, gives them “just” a 34% chance of winning it …Read More

HSAC’s 65 Facts: March Madness 2015

by Will Ezekowitz It is important to remember that statistically predicting the NCAA tournament, despite what FiveThirtyEight and others may tell you, is largely a fool’s errand. Most of these games are close to coin tosses anyway, and one tiny swing can change everything. For example, last year in the first round Team X was …Read More

How Does One Year’s Tournament Performance Affect the Next?

  by Kurt Bullard After finishing the 2014 season 35-1 and running the table in the conference, Wichita State earned a one-seed to the dismay of mid-major haters around the country. The Shockers drew the No. 8 Kentucky in the Round of 32, losing after a potential Fred VanVleet three-pointer clanked off the iron. Earlier …Read More

What if the Ivy League had a Conference Tournament?

By Will Ezekowitz and Harrison Chase Play in the most unique college basketball conference, the Ivy League, is about to start up again this Saturday. The Ivy League is the only conference in the country that doesn’t have a tournament to decide whom to grant its automatic NCAA tournament bid to, but rather relies upon …Read More

Is Harvard going back to the NCAA Tournament?

By Julian Ryan Harvard basketball was ranked #25 in the AP preseason poll, marking the first top-25 preseason ranking in school history. The last time an Ivy program was ranked in the preseason was Penn in 1975. The ranking reflects the team’s fantastic wins in the NCAA tournament over the past two seasons and is …Read More

Cinderella or Fairytale: March Madness v. the FA Cup

by Julian Ryan In America, March is the month of the Cinderella story for even the most casual of college basketball followers.  Millions of fans will turn on their televisions in the hope of watching the next Butler make a run at winning it all. England has its own equivalent of the Tournament: the FA …Read More

In Which an Infinite Number of Monkeys Brag About Picking Northern Iowa

By David Roher There are over nine quintillion ways to fill out your bracket, and over four hundred trillion ways to predict the first two rounds alone. Based on the craziness of the first four days of the tournament, I bet you wish your bracket was one of the other nine quintillion. With the overall …Read More

Predicting NCAA Tournament Upsets: Favorite Vulnerability

By John Ezekowitz On Tuesday, I looked at predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Today I’m looking at which favorites are vulnerable to upsets. Again, I created a database of NCAA Tournament favorites’ tempo-free stat profiles using KenPom.com’s invaluable data.  My dataset covers the last 6 NCAA Tournaments (compared to ESPN.com’s analysis, which only uses …Read More